Improvizor

The guy who predicted this clearly forgot that every 2 years or so technology development speed is increased double.

__________________

Marty

Oh no... did I read this in a technology forum?

"kids even with this graphics now cant see a difference in the real world and games (sad fact)"

Really? You think kids are that stupid? You believe this to be true? Just because you say that it's a fact doesn't mean that it is one. Do some research and you'll find that nothing has changed. I'm sure parents and grandparents said this type of thing years and decades ago.

"OMG my kids are hooked on radio shows about cowboys and Indians; no more books, ethnic cleansing, and an obsession with guns are sure to plague the 1950s and 60s."

I guess there will always be those who believe that advances in entertainment technology will rob children of their innocence.

dunniteowl

I can't believe that someone can blithely quote Moore's Law, which states:
Which has nothing to do with anything other than speeding up the processor and adding to it's overall power. That has nothing to do with how people think, how software is created or what have you.

Sure, the more powerful and faster processor speeds up computational things, which includes speeding up the ability to display graphics. But if you say 10-15 years and you quote Moore's Law in that, then you're really saying that current technology couldn't be made to do it for another, what, at least another 64 years? Come on. (Consider that doubling doubles the previous values and thus works non linearly, meaning that in 2 years, we'll have quadruple the power, 6 years, octuple the power, 8 years, Sexigesimal the power and so forth...)

I also don't see the issues AI *(which I would argue should be more properly called Adaptive Expert Systems with being so far off... The trick here is to learn to leverage the functional speed and computational power of the processors to access and utilize a database of information that can be added to, changed and processed on the fly during gaming (or any other 'real world' application.) The thing about what's going on now is that folks think new technology is the solution to the problem when the real solutions are giong to be how to innovate with what you've got now.

We don't need to make smarter computers, we need to use them smarter. And that includes more innovative ways to display.

best regards,
dunniteowl

Jimmyha6

I think realism is subjective topic. What people believed to be realistic and cutting-edge in the past seems just the opposite today. Similarly, I believe 30 years from now, if we look back to 10-15 years from now, these "realistic graphics" we await will seem trashy.

Marty

I don't think it's subjective at all - reality is reality. However, if someone identifies something as "realistic" then his/her view of what is realistic is subjective.

We all live in the "real" world. The realism we experience is interpreted by our senses, but it doesn't change the fact that the world and its physical properties are real. Computer graphics have not yet reached that point, and it won't ever be pure realism unless it is impossible for any of us to recognize the difference between the real world and that of a virtual world.

This whole idea was extremely well represented in the Matrix trilogy. The opening of the film depicts Neo in what he thinks is the real world, but we find out later that what he is interpreting as real is a dynamic and perfectly engineered representation of reality. So, realism can only be achieved if we don't know the difference.